Oregon vs Auburn 1/10/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Oregon winning 49% of simulations, and Auburn 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Oregon commits fewer turnovers in 33% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Auburn wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. LaMichael James is averaging 147 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (43% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Cameron Newton is averaging 113 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is AUB -3 --- Over/Under line is 79

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